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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. Finland. SM-Liiga (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3852, period of time : 09-22-2016 - 04-28-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 5.00, variance V = 4.83, SD = 2.20, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 14
P1 = 43.3%, draw = 23.8%, P2 = 33.0%, total 0 = 0.8%, over 2.5 = 87.4%, under 2.5 = 12.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Finland. SM-Liiga: Poisson and Total PDF
Finland. SM-Liiga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.64, variance V = 2.70, SD = 1.64, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Finland. SM-Liiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.36, variance V = 2.56, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Finland. SM-Liiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 5.70, SD = 2.39, E/V = 0.05, Min = -9, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Finland. SM-Liiga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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10-18-2026
00:17:22 UTC