To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONCACAF. Central American Cup

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 55, period of time : 01-14-2011 - 01-22-2017

### Match total

Average per match E = 2.02, variance V = 1.72, SD = 1.31, E/V = 1.17, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 45.5%, draw = 27.3%, P2 = 27.3%, total 0 = 10.9%, over 2.5 = 30.9%, under 2.5 = 69.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)  ### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 0.81, SD = 0.90, E/V = 1.44, Min = 0, Max = 3
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.85, variance V = 1.02, SD = 1.01, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.31, variance V = 1.92, SD = 1.39, E/V = 0.16, Min = -3, Max = 3
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2) Page time:

Tuesday
12-07-2021
12:18:08 UTC