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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. EFL Trophy

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 67, period of time : 08-31-2021 - 01-07-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.97, variance V = 3.61, SD = 1.90, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 40.3%, draw = 19.4%, P2 = 40.3%, total 0 = 4.5%, over 2.5 = 50.8%, under 2.5 = 49.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

England. EFL Trophy: Poisson and Total PDF
England. EFL Trophy: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.85, SD = 1.36, E/V = 0.75, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. EFL Trophy: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 2.22, SD = 1.49, E/V = 0.71, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. EFL Trophy: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = -0.19, variance V = 4.52, SD = 2.13, E/V = -0.04, Min = -6, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

England. EFL Trophy: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
01-18-2022
17:31:37 UTC