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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. EFL Trophy

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 76, period of time : 08-31-2021 - 04-03-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.96, variance V = 3.40, SD = 1.84, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 40.8%, draw = 23.7%, P2 = 35.5%, total 0 = 3.9%, over 2.5 = 51.3%, under 2.5 = 48.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

England. EFL Trophy: Poisson and Total PDF
England. EFL Trophy: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.43, variance V = 1.74, SD = 1.32, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. EFL Trophy: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.53, variance V = 2.04, SD = 1.43, E/V = 0.75, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. EFL Trophy: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = -0.09, variance V = 4.16, SD = 2.04, E/V = -0.02, Min = -6, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

England. EFL Trophy: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
06-29-2022
01:41:08 UTC