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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Albania. SuperLiga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 454, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 09-19-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.26, variance V = 2.77, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 40.3%, draw = 28.4%, P2 = 31.3%, total 0 = 12.3%, over 2.5 = 38.3%, under 2.5 = 61.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Albania. SuperLiga: Poisson and Total PDF
Albania. SuperLiga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.24, variance V = 1.63, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Albania. SuperLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.02, variance V = 1.14, SD = 1.07, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Albania. SuperLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.22, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.08, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Albania. SuperLiga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
10:09:14 UTC