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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Albania. SuperLiga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 422, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 05-21-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.27, variance V = 2.75, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 40.5%, draw = 28.4%, P2 = 31.0%, total 0 = 11.8%, over 2.5 = 38.4%, under 2.5 = 61.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Albania. SuperLiga: Poisson and Total PDF
Albania. SuperLiga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.25, variance V = 1.65, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.75, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Albania. SuperLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.03, variance V = 1.14, SD = 1.07, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Albania. SuperLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.22, variance V = 2.83, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.08, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Albania. SuperLiga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-26-2022
11:39:16 UTC